mardi 25 octobre 2016

Probabilities of combat results in De bellis antiquitatis

 


The random factor has always been on the battlefield. Of course, it occupies an important place in the DBA game system. The art of the general consists in part in taking into account the probabilities.
" My cohort of praetorians may very well be massacred by this band of ragged ragged but it is likely to repel them, or even destroy them"    Centurion Bonusmalus


The goal is not to transform the game into mathematics. That would be reductive and ridiculous. In addition, systematic consultation of these tables during the game should be avoided as this would reduce the playful pleasure and would be painful for the gambling partner.

The function of these probabilities is to help understand the mechanisms of combat results and to be able to develop a better knowledge of the destructive or resistant capacities of the various types of troops. This allows novice players to quickly perceive what is risky, easy or conceivable on a DBA battlefield.

 There are two different tables: the first concerns the probability of obtaining a score higher than the opponent and the second the probability of obtaining a result that is double that of the opponent.